Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1690 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1690 · EWR → SNA

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 8:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SNA that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

SNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1690 · EWR → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?