Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1691 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1691 · EWR → IAD

departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:28 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from EWR are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1691 · EWR → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?