Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1727 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

UA 1727 · BUF → DEN

departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BUF that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1727 · BUF → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?