Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1750 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 1750 · OGG → SFO

departs 9:55 PM HT · arrives 5:54 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1750 · OGG → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?