Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1833 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 1833 · EWR → CLE

departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 10:08 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLE that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

CLE (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1833 · EWR → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?