Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1940 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1940 · DEN → SAN

departs 11:15 AM MT · arrives 12:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1940 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?