Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1971 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

UA 1971 · LAS → LAX

departs 5:32 PM PT · arrives 6:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1971 · LAS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?