Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2066 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

UA 2066 · ORF → IAD

departs 10:45 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORF is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ IAD is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ 10am departures from ORF are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2066 · ORF → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?