Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2125 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

UA 2125 · BNA → IAD

departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 4:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ 1pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2125 · BNA → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?