Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 212 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 212 · EWR → LAX

departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 2:38 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 212 · EWR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?