Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2196 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 2196 · IAH → RDU

departs 12:03 PM CT · arrives 3:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.6d 2d 1d 12h Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.