Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2202SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 2202 · ORD → IAD
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 9:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.