Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 2276 · IAD → LAX

departs 5:48 PM ET · arrives 8:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2276 · IAD → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?