Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2364 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 2364 · IAH → CVG

departs 12:25 PM CT · arrives 3:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.50 in

CVG (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2364 · IAH → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?