tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2381 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2381 · SAN → EWR

departs 6:40 AM PT · arrives 3:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.