Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2449 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 2449 · SFO → LAS

departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 1:50 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2449 · SFO → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?