Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2617 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2617 · ORD → LGA

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

LGA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2617 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?