Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2632 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2632 · LAX → IAD

departs 9:20 PM PT · arrives 5:26 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2632 · LAX → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?