Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2648 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2648 · GRR → DEN

departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 8:54 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2648 · GRR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?