Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2664 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 2664 · SFO → BWI

departs 9:33 AM PT · arrives 5:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2664 · SFO → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?