Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2677 LANDED 11:46 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2677 · IAD → ORF

took off 11:05 PM ET · landed 11:46 PM ET (scheduled 10:35 PM ET → 11:44 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ORF at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ORF that day

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

ORF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2677 · IAD → ORF

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORF?