Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2789 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2789 · ICT → DEN

departs 9:34 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ICT that day

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2789 · ICT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?