Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2791 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2791 · JAC → DEN

departs 2:44 PM MT · arrives 4:21 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

JAC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2791 · JAC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?