Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2803 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 2803 · ORD → DEN

departs 2:33 PM CT · arrives 4:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8.4 mi Precip0.14 in

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2803 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?