Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2804SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 2804 · TPA → ORD
departs 7:50 AM ET · arrives 10:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.