tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2815 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 2815 · EWR → IAH

departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    13%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.