Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 2834 · LGA → DEN

departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 7:35 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±5 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2834 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?