tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2858 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 2858 · EWR → PHX

departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 6:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    13%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.