Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 293
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 293 · IAD → JAX
departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to JAX?
-
On time or early
79%
-
15–30 min late
5%
-
30 min–1 hour late
5%
-
1–2 hours late
6%
-
Over 2 hours late
4%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.