UA 301 · SFO → DEN

took off 10:13 PM PT · landed 1:07 AM MT (scheduled 9:00 PM PT → 12:47 AM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 301 · SFO → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?