Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 336 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 336 · SFO → IAD

departs 10:26 PM PT · arrives 5:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 336 · SFO → IAD

Odds over time