Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 469 · IAH → LAX

departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.47 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 469 · IAH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?