Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 562 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 562 · SFO → BZN

departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 3:21 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 562 · SFO → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?