Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 587 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 587 · ORD → IND

departs 2:12 PM CT · arrives 4:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4.71429 mi Precip0.24 in

IND (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 587 · ORD → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?