Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 698 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 698 · SFO → EWR

departs 9:15 PM PT · arrives 5:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SFO that day

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 698 · SFO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?