Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1014 · BWI → MKE
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.