Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1034 · CMH → BWI
departs 5:35 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.