Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1053 · BOS → BWI
departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+38 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +38 pts in 24h
+38 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
3pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.