Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1081
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1081 · BWI → ROC
departs 10:55 PM ET · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ROC usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ROC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.