Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1106 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 1106 · BWI → SRQ

departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 10:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1106 · BWI → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?