Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1118 · BWI → STL
departs 9:55 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 16%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.