Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1159
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1159 · ALB → BWI
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.