Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1161 LANDED 10:45 PM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 1161 · LAX → RNO

took off 9:47 PM PT · landed 10:45 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1161 · LAX → RNO

Odds over time