Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 1263 · DAL → ATL
departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.24 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.