Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1265 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 1265 · DAL → AUS

departs 7:35 AM CT · arrives 8:40 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.29 in

AUS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1265 · DAL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?