Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1284
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1284 · DAL → BWI
departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.33 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.