Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1296 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 1296 · DAL → DEN

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:00 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.29 in

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1296 · DAL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?