Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1307 LANDED 9:37 PM MT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

WN 1307 · SJC → TUS

took off 8:03 PM PT · landed 9:37 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

TUS (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1307 · SJC → TUS

Odds over time