Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1312
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1312 · DAL → ELP
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.85 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.