Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1383 LANDED 12:25 AM CT, ~17 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 1383 · ELP → SAT

took off 10:20 PM MT · landed 12:25 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1383 · ELP → SAT

Odds over time